Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | PAC +360 ORST -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +36 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | ORST -11.0 (-25.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -12.0 (-24.0) | 141.5 (+4.5) | 19% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ORST -11.4 (-24.6) | 141.5 (+4.5) | 19% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | ORST -11.4 (-24.6) | 141.8 (+4.2) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -11.4 (-24.6) | 143.1 (+2.9) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | PAC 81 – 64 ORST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | PAC 84 – 53 ORST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ORST 79 – 65 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-10 | 15-3 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#275) | 8.4 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#318) | 1.25 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.52 (#320) | 1.72 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#300) | 0.530 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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