Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | SF -900 USD +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | SF -10.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -10.5 (-0.5) | 143.9 (-5.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -12.0 (-2.0) | 145.6 (-7.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -8.9 (+1.1) | 142.8 (-4.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -10.0 (+0.0) | 144.1 (-6.1) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SF 92 – 79 USD |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SF 84 – 61 USD |
| Jan 26, 2025 | SF 81 – 69 USD |
| Feb 2, 2024 | SF 95 – 79 USD |
| Jan 12, 2024 | SF 83 – 63 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-6 | 9-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#117) | -3.0 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#121) | -0.33 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#106) | -0.57 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#111) | 0.467 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 61.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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