Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | SF -4000 USD +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +12 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | SF -19.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -17.6 (-5.6) | 145.2 (+4.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -16.9 (-4.9) | 144.6 (+5.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -15.6 (-3.6) | 144.1 (+5.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -16.9 (-4.9) | 145.2 (+4.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SF 92 – 79 USD |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SF 74 – 64 USD |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SF 84 – 61 USD |
| Feb 2, 2024 | SF 95 – 79 USD |
| Jan 12, 2024 | SF 83 – 63 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 6-27 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 2-16 |
| Home | 17-2 | 5-13 |
| Away | 5-5 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 80.2 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#77) | -8.4 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#58) | -2.42 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#64) | -2.64 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#56) | 0.399 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 33.0% |
Game Analysis
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