Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | NICH -278 ETAM +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +22 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -10.8 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -9.5 (+12.5) | 144.0 (-6.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -9.3 (+12.7) | 145.1 (-7.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -9.2 (+12.8) | 145.2 (-7.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -9.5 (+12.5) | 145.6 (-7.6) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NICH 72 – 68 ETAM |
| Feb 8, 2025 | NICH 81 – 65 ETAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | NICH 83 – 61 ETAM |
| Mar 12, 2024 | NICH 72 – 51 ETAM |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NICH 85 – 70 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-10 | 6-16 |
| Home | 6-6 | 6-8 |
| Away | 7-12 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#198) | -9.1 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#220) | -0.94 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#221) | -1.60 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#208) | 0.487 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 29.1 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.0% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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