Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
Southland Conference · David R. Stopher Gymnasium · January 3, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread NICH -6.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money NICH -278 / ETAM +225
Model Predictions
Spread Total NICH win
Actual NICH +22 138 Won
Massey NICH -10.8 (+11.2)
Massey Totals 151.7 (-13.7)
Bradley-Terry 75%
Weighted B-T 82%
Efficiency Plus ML NICH -9.3 (+12.7) 145.1 (-7.1) 85%
Baseline Tuned ML NICH -9.2 (+12.8) 145.2 (-7.2) 82%
Baseline ML NICH -9.5 (+12.5) 145.6 (-7.6) 83%
Baseline Plus ML NICH -9.5 (+12.5) 144.0 (-6.0) 82%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 NICH 7268 ETAM
Feb 8, 2025 NICH 8165 ETAM
Jan 7, 2025 NICH 8361 ETAM
Mar 12, 2024 NICH 7251 ETAM
Feb 24, 2024 NICH 8570 ETAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NICH ETAM
Overall 14-19 11-21
Conference 12-10 6-16
Home 6-6 6-8
Away 7-12 4-13
Neutral 1-1 1-0
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 71.0 67.1
Avg Pts Against 75.7 76.0
Massey -2.2 (#198) -9.1 (#300)
Bradley-Terry -0.47 (#220) -0.94 (#248)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.79 (#221) -1.60 (#261)
RPI 0.483 (#208) 0.487 (#200)
Shooting & Four Factors NICH ETAM
FG% 43.6% 40.8%
3PT% 34.9% 32.5%
REB / G 29.1 31.4
OREB / G 9.1 8.6
AST / TO 1.09 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 48.4%
TOV% 17.0% 21.2%
ORB% 25.6% 23.9%
FT Rate 23.7% 22.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.9% 55.5%
Opp TOV% 21.2% 17.8%
DRB% 67.0% 67.7%
Opp FT Rate 33.0% 23.1%

Game Analysis

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