Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | NICH -450 ETAM +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +15 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -8.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -7.4 (+7.6) | 143.4 (+11.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -6.3 (+8.7) | 143.4 (+11.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -6.9 (+8.1) | 141.6 (+13.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -6.8 (+8.2) | 141.6 (+13.4) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NICH 72 – 68 ETAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NICH 80 – 58 ETAM |
| Feb 8, 2025 | NICH 81 – 65 ETAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | NICH 83 – 61 ETAM |
| Mar 12, 2024 | NICH 72 – 51 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-2 | 8-7 |
| Away | 8-10 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#271) | -11.0 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#227) | -1.81 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#252) | -2.32 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#182) | 0.438 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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