Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | ETAM -130 NICH +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +4 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -0.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -0.9 (-3.1) | 143.0 (-3.0) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -1.6 (-2.4) | 142.7 (-2.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -0.2 (-4.2) | 142.2 (-2.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -0.0 (-4.0) | 143.1 (-3.1) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | NICH 80 – 58 ETAM |
| Feb 8, 2025 | NICH 81 – 65 ETAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | NICH 83 – 61 ETAM |
| Mar 12, 2024 | NICH 72 – 51 ETAM |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NICH 85 – 70 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 6-16 | 12-10 |
| Home | 6-8 | 6-6 |
| Away | 4-13 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#294) | -4.8 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#272) | -0.85 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#267) | -1.18 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#240) | 0.461 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
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