Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | NICH +155 ETAM -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +21 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -6.4 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -6.2 (+14.8) | 145.3 (-22.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -7.0 (+14.0) | 142.6 (-19.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -7.2 (+13.8) | 142.7 (-19.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -7.2 (+13.8) | 145.5 (-22.5) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NICH 72 – 68 ETAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NICH 80 – 58 ETAM |
| Feb 8, 2025 | NICH 81 – 65 ETAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | NICH 83 – 61 ETAM |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NICH 85 – 70 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-2 | 8-7 |
| Away | 8-10 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#260) | -11.2 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#209) | -1.72 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#231) | -2.28 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#154) | 0.454 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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