Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ETAM +175 NICH -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +22 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -2.8 (-19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -3.7 (-18.3) | 141.3 (+2.7) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -3.6 (-18.4) | 141.0 (+3.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -3.2 (-18.8) | 139.3 (+4.7) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -3.1 (-18.9) | 140.0 (+4.0) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NICH 72 – 68 ETAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NICH 80 – 58 ETAM |
| Feb 8, 2025 | NICH 81 – 65 ETAM |
| Mar 12, 2024 | NICH 72 – 51 ETAM |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NICH 85 – 70 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 13-7 |
| Home | 4-10 | 11-4 |
| Away | 1-16 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.4 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#333) | -4.0 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#318) | -0.15 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.70 (#329) | -0.64 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#314) | 0.489 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 25.1% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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