Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | NICH -650 ETAM +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +16 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -12.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -11.1 (+4.9) | 138.5 (+7.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -10.6 (+5.4) | 140.5 (+5.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -10.5 (+5.5) | 139.1 (+6.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -9.9 (+6.1) | 138.8 (+7.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NICH 72 – 68 ETAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NICH 80 – 58 ETAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | NICH 83 – 61 ETAM |
| Mar 12, 2024 | NICH 72 – 51 ETAM |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NICH 85 – 70 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 3-17 |
| Home | 11-4 | 4-10 |
| Away | 8-8 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#177) | -10.7 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#170) | -2.33 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#171) | -2.86 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#164) | 0.395 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 23.9% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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