Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | NU -198 MINN +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +6 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | NU -9.4 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -7.1 (-13.1) | 133.3 (+28.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -7.2 (-13.2) | 132.9 (+29.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NU -7.4 (-13.4) | 135.5 (+26.5) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -6.3 (-12.3) | 134.2 (+27.8) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | MINN 67 – 66 NU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | NU 72 – 64 MINN |
| Feb 26, 2025 | NU 75 – 63 MINN |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NU 90 – 66 MINN |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MINN 75 – 66 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-8 | 13-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#64) | 4.3 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#114) | 0.52 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#112) | 0.92 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#121) | 0.486 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.03 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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