Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | MINN -130 NU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +12 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | NU -1.7 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -0.0 (-12.0) | 133.5 (+4.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -0.2 (-11.8) | 133.0 (+5.0) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -0.7 (-11.3) | 135.4 (+2.6) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -0.4 (-12.4) | 134.3 (+3.7) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | MINN 67 – 66 NU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MINN 84 – 78 NU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | NU 72 – 64 MINN |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NU 90 – 66 MINN |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MINN 75 – 66 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-9 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#92) | 10.8 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#73) | 1.28 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#71) | 2.01 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#97) | 0.532 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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