Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -205 NU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +1 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -2.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -2.5 (-1.5) | 131.4 (+1.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -2.5 (-1.5) | 134.8 (-1.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -2.4 (-1.4) | 134.4 (-1.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -3.0 (-2.0) | 131.9 (+1.1) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | MINN 84 – 78 NU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | NU 72 – 64 MINN |
| Feb 26, 2025 | NU 75 – 63 MINN |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NU 90 – 66 MINN |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MINN 75 – 66 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 5-15 |
| Home | 13-4 | 9-8 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#73) | 9.2 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#84) | 1.04 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#79) | 1.33 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#153) | 0.517 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.65 | 1.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 13.1% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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