Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | MINN +135 NU -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +8 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | NU -5.6 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -5.1 (-2.9) | 129.2 (+6.8) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -4.5 (-3.5) | 129.1 (+6.9) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -4.8 (-3.2) | 130.4 (+5.6) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -4.8 (-3.2) | 129.6 (+6.4) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | MINN 67 – 66 NU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MINN 84 – 78 NU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | NU 75 – 63 MINN |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NU 90 – 66 MINN |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MINN 75 – 66 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-9 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#91) | 11.4 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#76) | 1.43 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#72) | 2.23 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#117) | 0.534 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.