Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | MINN +105 NU -133 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +9 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -1.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -1.4 (+7.6) | 143.5 (-2.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -0.5 (+8.5) | 140.2 (+0.8) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -1.0 (+8.0) | 143.1 (-2.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -0.5 (+8.5) | 144.2 (-3.2) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | MINN 67 – 66 NU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MINN 84 – 78 NU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | NU 72 – 64 MINN |
| Feb 26, 2025 | NU 75 – 63 MINN |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NU 90 – 66 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 16-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#83) | 9.3 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#115) | 2.24 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#101) | 2.87 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#158) | 0.583 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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