Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | NU -200 MINN +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +24 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | NU -5.0 (+19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (+13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -6.5 (+17.5) | 141.4 (+14.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -6.4 (+17.6) | 139.5 (+16.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -6.7 (+17.3) | 141.8 (+14.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -6.3 (+17.7) | 142.2 (+13.8) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | MINN 67 – 66 NU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MINN 84 – 78 NU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | NU 72 – 64 MINN |
| Feb 26, 2025 | NU 75 – 63 MINN |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MINN 75 – 66 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 16-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#53) | 8.1 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#41) | 1.14 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#31) | 1.58 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#74) | 0.510 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.73 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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