Betting Lines
| Spread | CHSO -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | CHSO -218 UNCA +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHSO +3 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | CHSO -7.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CHSO -5.2 (-2.2) | 144.1 (+24.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHSO -7.8 (-4.8) | 143.8 (+25.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CHSO -6.2 (-3.2) | 145.1 (+23.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHSO -6.5 (-3.5) | 144.9 (+24.1) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CHSO 92 – 75 UNCA |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UNCA 80 – 60 CHSO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNCA 75 – 72 CHSO |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNCA 69 – 61 CHSO |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UNCA 60 – 55 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-11 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#194) | -5.0 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#203) | -1.09 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#207) | -1.34 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#227) | 0.454 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.3% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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