Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | CHSO +135 UNCA -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +8 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCA -2.2 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (-26.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -3.2 (-4.8) | 154.3 (-24.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -3.4 (-4.6) | 151.2 (-21.2) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -3.2 (-4.8) | 150.7 (-20.7) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -3.0 (-5.0) | 152.1 (-22.1) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CHSO 92 – 75 UNCA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CHSO 86 – 83 UNCA |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UNCA 80 – 60 CHSO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNCA 75 – 72 CHSO |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UNCA 60 – 55 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 11-5 |
| Home | 7-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 3-14 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#283) | -1.8 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#296) | 0.50 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#294) | 0.47 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#294) | 0.545 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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