Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | CCU -298 GAST +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GAST +18 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | CCU -10.6 (-28.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (+18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -8.0 (-26.0) | 139.0 (+21.0) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -6.4 (-24.4) | 145.9 (+14.1) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -8.7 (-26.7) | 143.3 (+16.7) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -8.2 (-26.2) | 139.6 (+20.4) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | CCU 76 – 71 GAST |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CCU 80 – 74 GAST |
| Jan 11, 2025 | GAST 79 – 74 CCU |
| Feb 22, 2024 | GAST 72 – 71 CCU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | CCU 85 – 83 GAST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 10-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#234) | -11.4 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#214) | -1.71 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#224) | -2.11 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#209) | 0.406 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 35.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 42.1% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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