Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | GAST -500 CCU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GAST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GAST +1 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | GAST -11.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GAST -9.9 (-8.9) | 149.3 (-6.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GAST -8.2 (-7.2) | 153.7 (-10.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GAST -9.6 (-8.6) | 152.6 (-9.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GAST -9.4 (-8.4) | 149.3 (-6.3) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | CCU 76 – 71 GAST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GAST 89 – 71 CCU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CCU 80 – 74 GAST |
| Jan 11, 2025 | GAST 79 – 74 CCU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | CCU 85 – 83 GAST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GAST | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-11 |
| Away | 5-11 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#195) | -9.7 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#232) | -1.80 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#225) | -2.08 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#201) | 0.402 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GAST | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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