Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | GAST -170 CCU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GAST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GAST +5 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | GAST -2.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (+16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GAST -1.0 (+4.0) | 137.5 (+15.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GAST -1.4 (+3.6) | 137.8 (+15.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GAST -0.5 (+4.5) | 136.7 (+16.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GAST -0.7 (+4.3) | 138.0 (+15.0) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | CCU 76 – 71 GAST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GAST 89 – 71 CCU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CCU 80 – 74 GAST |
| Feb 22, 2024 | GAST 72 – 71 CCU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | CCU 85 – 83 GAST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GAST | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 3-15 |
| Home | 9-6 | 6-8 |
| Away | 3-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#304) | -7.0 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#299) | -1.59 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#302) | -2.16 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#277) | 0.402 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GAST | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 10.2% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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