Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | SMC -3200 PORT +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +21 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -23.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -18.9 (+2.1) | 140.9 (-5.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -21.1 (-0.1) | 140.0 (-5.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -16.9 (+4.1) | 141.9 (-6.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -17.8 (+3.2) | 142.3 (-7.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | SMC 75 – 69 PORT |
| Feb 20, 2025 | SMC 79 – 66 PORT |
| Jan 5, 2025 | SMC 81 – 58 PORT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | SMC 76 – 51 PORT |
| Jan 12, 2024 | SMC 95 – 52 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-6 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 6-12 |
| Home | 17-0 | 12-6 |
| Away | 8-2 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 14.4 (#35) | -4.8 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.11 (#23) | -0.38 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.49 (#22) | -0.32 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.669 (#6) | 0.463 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 33.2% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.