Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | PORT +850 SMC -1450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +6 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | SMC -13.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -12.5 (+6.5) | 140.6 (+3.4) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -14.1 (+8.1) | 142.4 (+1.6) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -11.4 (+5.4) | 141.2 (+2.8) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -11.2 (+5.2) | 141.5 (+2.5) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | SMC 78 – 57 PORT |
| Feb 20, 2025 | SMC 79 – 66 PORT |
| Jan 5, 2025 | SMC 81 – 58 PORT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | SMC 76 – 51 PORT |
| Jan 12, 2024 | SMC 95 – 52 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 27-6 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 16-2 |
| Home | 12-6 | 17-0 |
| Away | 1-12 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 65.2 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#205) | 14.0 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#193) | 2.54 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#179) | 3.42 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#207) | 0.637 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 32.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.