Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | PORT +1700 SMC -3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +25 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | SMC -19.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -21.7 (-3.3) | 135.1 (-8.1) | 11% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -16.2 (-8.8) | 137.3 (-10.3) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -17.7 (-7.3) | 135.5 (-8.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -20.9 (-4.1) | 134.8 (-7.8) | 11% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | SMC 75 – 69 PORT |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SMC 78 – 57 PORT |
| Feb 20, 2025 | SMC 79 – 66 PORT |
| Jan 5, 2025 | SMC 81 – 58 PORT |
| Jan 12, 2024 | SMC 95 – 52 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 15-1 |
| Home | 9-6 | 14-4 |
| Away | 2-11 | 9-0 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 60.2 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#311) | 13.8 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#277) | 1.90 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#272) | 2.24 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#258) | 0.594 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 39.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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