Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | PORT +1300 SMC -4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +23 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | SMC -15.6 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -14.2 (-8.8) | 137.6 (+1.4) | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -16.4 (-6.6) | 140.8 (-1.8) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -13.8 (-9.2) | 138.5 (+0.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -14.1 (-8.9) | 139.3 (-0.3) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | SMC 75 – 69 PORT |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SMC 78 – 57 PORT |
| Feb 20, 2025 | SMC 79 – 66 PORT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | SMC 76 – 51 PORT |
| Jan 12, 2024 | SMC 95 – 52 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 17-1 |
| Home | 9-7 | 16-1 |
| Away | 3-9 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 61.8 |
| Massey | -10.1 (#327) | 9.7 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#315) | 2.15 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.43 (#316) | 3.08 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#286) | 0.597 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 41.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 15.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 19.9% | 41.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.