Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | SMC -20000 PORT +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +13 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -28.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -23.6 (-10.6) | 136.3 (+8.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -23.5 (-10.5) | 136.7 (+8.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -20.9 (-7.9) | 137.5 (+7.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -22.9 (-9.9) | 138.2 (+6.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | SMC 75 – 69 PORT |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SMC 78 – 57 PORT |
| Jan 5, 2025 | SMC 81 – 58 PORT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | SMC 76 – 51 PORT |
| Jan 12, 2024 | SMC 95 – 52 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-1 | 9-7 |
| Away | 9-1 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.8 | 81.2 |
| Massey | 16.0 (#29) | -9.2 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#29) | -0.96 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.59 (#21) | -1.19 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#15) | 0.440 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 39.6% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.