Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM -355 PV +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +4 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -8.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -5.3 (-1.3) | 149.0 (-1.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -6.1 (-2.1) | 150.8 (-2.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -6.9 (-2.9) | 150.8 (-2.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -6.1 (-2.1) | 149.2 (-1.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | PV 68 – 63 GRAM |
| Feb 18, 2025 | GRAM 70 – 48 PV |
| Jan 4, 2025 | PV 73 – 55 GRAM |
| Feb 20, 2024 | GRAM 83 – 74 PV |
| Jan 6, 2024 | GRAM 69 – 63 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 19-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-13 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#228) | -8.6 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#191) | -2.07 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#204) | -2.87 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#144) | 0.453 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 28.5 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 33.8% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 63.1% | 61.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 42.1% |
Game Analysis
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