Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM -500 PV +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +22 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -6.6 (+15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -4.1 (+17.9) | 140.0 (-22.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -5.7 (+16.3) | 139.8 (-21.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -4.9 (+17.1) | 138.9 (-20.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -5.1 (+16.9) | 139.5 (-21.5) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | PV 68 – 63 GRAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GRAM 76 – 72 PV |
| Jan 4, 2025 | PV 73 – 55 GRAM |
| Feb 20, 2024 | GRAM 83 – 74 PV |
| Jan 6, 2024 | GRAM 69 – 63 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-22 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-7 | 3-7 |
| Away | 4-12 | 2-19 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.4 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 82.2 |
| Massey | -10.5 (#327) | -13.9 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.57 (#349) | -3.33 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.15 (#346) | -3.96 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#331) | 0.370 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 28.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 60.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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