Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM -150 PV +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +6 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | PV -1.9 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -4.1 (+10.1) | 138.0 (-6.0) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -1.5 (+7.5) | 135.1 (-3.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -3.4 (+9.4) | 133.6 (-1.6) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PV -4.1 (+10.1) | 138.1 (-6.1) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | PV 68 – 63 GRAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GRAM 76 – 72 PV |
| Feb 18, 2025 | GRAM 70 – 48 PV |
| Jan 4, 2025 | PV 73 – 55 GRAM |
| Feb 20, 2024 | GRAM 83 – 74 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-3 | 5-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -12.9 (#342) | -6.7 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.33 (#358) | -0.46 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.42 (#357) | -0.70 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#314) | 0.486 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 26.1 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.51 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 41.9% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.7% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 62.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 37.9% |
Game Analysis
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