Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | PV +125 GRAM -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PV +18 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -0.1 (+18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.4 (-29.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -2.5 (+15.5) | 146.0 (-18.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -3.1 (+14.9) | 144.0 (-16.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -1.7 (+16.3) | 145.5 (-17.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PV -1.3 (+16.7) | 148.2 (-20.2) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | PV 68 – 63 GRAM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GRAM 76 – 72 PV |
| Feb 18, 2025 | GRAM 70 – 48 PV |
| Feb 20, 2024 | GRAM 83 – 74 PV |
| Jan 6, 2024 | GRAM 69 – 63 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PV | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 12-22 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 3-7 | 6-7 |
| Away | 2-19 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#338) | -7.1 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.14 (#353) | -3.44 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.19 (#353) | -4.79 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#310) | 0.405 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PV | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 26.9 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.6% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 56.9% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.3% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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