Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | MD +100 ORE -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +10 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -2.7 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-34.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -1.5 (-8.5) | 149.1 (-31.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -2.5 (-7.5) | 146.3 (-28.3) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -3.0 (-7.0) | 147.9 (-29.9) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -3.3 (-6.7) | 148.3 (-30.3) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | MD 70 – 60 ORE |
| Jan 5, 2025 | ORE 83 – 79 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 5-15 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-7 |
| Away | 2-10 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#157) | 7.6 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#124) | 1.01 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#129) | 1.55 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#128) | 0.545 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 38.6% |
| FT Rate | 35.4% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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