Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -190 MD +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +4 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | MD -0.4 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -3.4 (+0.6) | 146.3 (+15.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -2.9 (+1.1) | 149.0 (+13.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -1.7 (+2.3) | 150.1 (+11.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -2.8 (+1.2) | 151.3 (+10.7) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | MD 70 – 60 ORE |
| Jan 3, 2026 | ORE 64 – 54 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 17-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 81.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 14.4 (#29) | 19.0 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.44 (#12) | 1.76 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.33 (#14) | 2.54 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.664 (#5) | 0.535 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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