Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | PITT +150 CLEM -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -3.6 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -1.7 (-3.3) | 134.6 (+6.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -1.4 (-3.6) | 131.4 (+9.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -1.3 (-3.7) | 132.5 (+8.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -1.5 (-3.5) | 134.1 (+6.9) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CLEM 63 – 52 PITT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CLEM 78 – 75 PITT |
| Feb 28, 2024 | CLEM 69 – 62 PITT |
| Dec 3, 2023 | CLEM 79 – 70 PITT |
| Jan 7, 2023 | CLEM 75 – 74 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-10 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#99) | 13.7 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#137) | 2.38 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#150) | 3.03 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#119) | 0.610 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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