Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -300 PITT +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +7 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -6.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -5.5 (+1.5) | 143.0 (-12.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -5.0 (+2.0) | 142.3 (-11.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -7.0 (-0.0) | 142.4 (-11.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -6.2 (+0.8) | 143.0 (-12.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CLEM 63 – 52 PITT |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CLEM 73 – 68 PITT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CLEM 78 – 75 PITT |
| Dec 3, 2023 | CLEM 79 – 70 PITT |
| Jan 7, 2023 | CLEM 75 – 74 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 13-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#25) | 10.9 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#19) | 1.61 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.14 (#13) | 1.92 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#18) | 0.545 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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