I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
Pittsburgh Panthers
75 78 OT
FINAL Conference
Clemson Tigers
Atlantic Coast Conference · Petersen Events Center · January 18, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread PITT -3.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money PITT -165 / CLEM +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total PITT win
Actual CLEM +3 153 Lost
Massey PITT -5.7 (-8.7)
Massey Totals 144.6 (+8.4)
Bradley-Terry 67%
Weighted B-T 66%
Efficiency Plus ML PITT -4.6 (-7.6) 140.1 (+12.9) 68%
Baseline Tuned ML PITT -4.9 (-7.9) 142.2 (+10.8) 68%
Baseline ML PITT -5.1 (-8.1) 141.3 (+11.7) 72%
Baseline Plus ML PITT -4.9 (-7.9) 142.8 (+10.2) 69%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 CLEM 6352 PITT
Jan 3, 2026 CLEM 7368 PITT
Feb 28, 2024 CLEM 6962 PITT
Dec 3, 2023 CLEM 7970 PITT
Jan 7, 2023 CLEM 7574 PITT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings PITT CLEM
Overall 17-15 27-7
Conference 8-12 18-2
Home 13-4 15-2
Away 3-9 9-3
Neutral 1-2 3-2
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 75.9 76.1
Avg Pts Against 70.8 65.8
Massey 15.0 (#28) 13.0 (#38)
Bradley-Terry 2.44 (#34) 2.44 (#33)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.95 (#41) 3.09 (#32)
RPI 0.614 (#30) 0.614 (#31)
Shooting & Four Factors PITT CLEM
FG% 47.4% 46.0%
3PT% 36.3% 38.1%
REB / G 35.3 35.4
OREB / G 9.5 11.3
AST / TO 1.33 1.36
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.7% 53.6%
TOV% 15.2% 16.0%
ORB% 28.9% 33.5%
FT Rate 27.4% 22.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.4% 49.1%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 20.7%
DRB% 70.9% 70.8%
Opp FT Rate 23.0% 21.0%

Game Analysis

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