Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | PITT -120 CLEM +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +9 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | PITT -7.3 (-16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -3.9 (-12.9) | 145.5 (+3.5) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -5.9 (-14.9) | 144.2 (+4.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -4.8 (-13.8) | 142.9 (+6.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -3.6 (-12.6) | 144.8 (+4.2) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CLEM 63 – 52 PITT |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CLEM 73 – 68 PITT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CLEM 78 – 75 PITT |
| Feb 28, 2024 | CLEM 69 – 62 PITT |
| Jan 7, 2023 | CLEM 75 – 74 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#31) | 10.2 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#184) | 3.90 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#168) | 5.88 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#153) | 0.672 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 41.5% |
| REB / G | 46.3 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 15.1 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 38.7% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 80.1% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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