I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
Pittsburgh Panthers
74 – 75
FINAL Conference
Clemson Tigers
Atlantic Coast Conference · Petersen Events Center · January 7, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread PITT -2.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Over
Money PITT -150 / CLEM +115
Model Predictions
Spread Total PITT win
Actual CLEM +1 149 Lost
Massey PITT -4.5 (-5.5) — —
Massey Totals — 144.4 (+4.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 69% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 71% ✗
Baseline Plus ML PITT -3.4 (-4.4) 144.3 (+4.7) 71% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ PITT -2.9 (-3.9) 144.0 (+5.0) 66% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML PITT -4.1 (-5.1) 145.9 (+3.1) 69% ✗
Baseline ML PITT -4.0 (-5.0) 145.4 (+3.6) 66% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 CLEM 63 – 52 PITT
Jan 3, 2026 CLEM 73 – 68 PITT
Jan 18, 2025 CLEM 78 – 75 PITT
Feb 28, 2024 CLEM 69 – 62 PITT
Dec 3, 2023 CLEM 79 – 70 PITT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings PITT CLEM
Overall 24-12 23-11
Conference 14-6 14-6
Home 14-3 15-2
Away 7-5 5-6
Neutral 3-4 3-3
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 75.1 74.7
Avg Pts Against 69.7 67.9
Massey 7.6 (#72) 7.4 (#77)
Bradley-Terry 1.79 (#48) 1.76 (#49)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.36 (#49) 2.38 (#46)
RPI 0.599 (#30) 0.586 (#51)
Shooting & Four Factors PITT CLEM
FG% 45.1% 46.8%
3PT% 34.0% 38.8%
REB / G 39.4 34.7
OREB / G 11.5 7.2
AST / TO 1.16 1.39
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.5% 54.3%
TOV% 18.9% 16.3%
ORB% 33.0% 22.9%
FT Rate 24.1% 25.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.0% 46.2%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 17.8%
DRB% 73.3% 75.8%
Opp FT Rate 18.6% 22.6%

Game Analysis

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