Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -675 PITT +490 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +11 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -13.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -13.1 (-2.1) | 136.7 (-21.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -11.8 (-0.8) | 133.6 (-18.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -13.2 (-2.2) | 135.9 (-20.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -13.0 (-2.0) | 136.1 (-21.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | CLEM 73 – 68 PITT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CLEM 78 – 75 PITT |
| Feb 28, 2024 | CLEM 69 – 62 PITT |
| Dec 3, 2023 | CLEM 79 – 70 PITT |
| Jan 7, 2023 | CLEM 75 – 74 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-3 | 8-10 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#34) | 5.4 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.76 (#25) | 0.18 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.55 (#27) | 0.35 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.617 (#26) | 0.500 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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