Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | NWST +114 NOLA -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +6 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | NOLA -3.3 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -2.9 (+8.9) | 145.5 (-3.5) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -1.6 (+7.6) | 144.3 (-2.3) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -3.1 (+9.1) | 146.8 (-4.8) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -2.9 (+8.9) | 148.0 (-6.0) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NOLA 75 – 64 NWST |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NWST 73 – 66 NOLA |
| Jan 20, 2025 | NWST 73 – 61 NOLA |
| Feb 13, 2024 | NWST 70 – 59 NOLA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | NWST 92 – 67 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 8-14 | 12-10 |
| Home | 8-6 | 5-6 |
| Away | 2-15 | 9-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#309) | -2.8 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#340) | -0.34 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.00 (#330) | -0.50 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#326) | 0.500 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 27.2 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.6% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.7% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 62.5% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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