Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | NWST -500 NOLA +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +12 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | NWST -10.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -8.7 (+3.3) | 143.2 (-9.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -8.7 (+3.3) | 144.2 (-10.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -8.4 (+3.6) | 143.3 (-9.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -8.1 (+3.9) | 143.9 (-9.9) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NOLA 75 – 64 NWST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NWST 74 – 68 NOLA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NWST 73 – 66 NOLA |
| Feb 13, 2024 | NWST 70 – 59 NOLA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | NWST 92 – 67 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 2-18 |
| Home | 9-5 | 0-11 |
| Away | 6-11 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 82.5 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#241) | -11.8 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#254) | -1.25 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#222) | -1.77 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#243) | 0.458 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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