Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | NOLA +240 NWST -290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +7 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | NWST -5.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -4.9 (-2.1) | 137.8 (+1.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -3.9 (-3.1) | 137.8 (+1.2) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -3.9 (-3.1) | 138.0 (+1.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -4.6 (-2.4) | 139.9 (-0.9) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NOLA 75 – 64 NWST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NWST 74 – 68 NOLA |
| Jan 20, 2025 | NWST 73 – 61 NOLA |
| Feb 13, 2024 | NWST 70 – 59 NOLA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | NWST 92 – 67 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-27 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 12-8 |
| Home | 0-11 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-15 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L13 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.5 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -12.7 (#344) | -4.6 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#336) | -0.90 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.65 (#334) | -0.91 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#321) | 0.461 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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