Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | NOLA -275 NWST +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +25 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | NOLA -9.1 (-34.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -6.1 (-31.1) | 148.6 (+10.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -4.7 (-29.7) | 147.5 (+11.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -6.4 (-31.4) | 148.7 (+10.3) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -7.0 (-32.0) | 149.9 (+9.1) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NOLA 75 – 64 NWST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NWST 74 – 68 NOLA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NWST 73 – 66 NOLA |
| Jan 20, 2025 | NWST 73 – 61 NOLA |
| Feb 13, 2024 | NWST 70 – 59 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-6 | 6-7 |
| Away | 2-15 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.6 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#318) | -15.2 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#311) | -2.90 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#307) | -3.38 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#311) | 0.367 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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