Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | NWST -150 NOLA +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +11 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | NWST -3.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (-26.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -2.3 (+8.7) | 151.0 (-22.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -3.9 (+7.1) | 147.1 (-18.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -2.2 (+8.8) | 149.0 (-20.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -2.5 (+8.5) | 150.4 (-21.4) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NOLA 75 – 64 NWST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NWST 74 – 68 NOLA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NWST 73 – 66 NOLA |
| Jan 20, 2025 | NWST 73 – 61 NOLA |
| Jan 20, 2024 | NWST 92 – 67 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-7 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-13 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 81.6 |
| Massey | -12.7 (#338) | -13.2 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#343) | -2.41 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.67 (#336) | -3.10 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.379 (#349) | 0.391 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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