Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | DREX +185 HOF -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +3 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -9.8 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -8.8 (+5.8) | 134.8 (+2.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -7.0 (+4.0) | 135.3 (+1.7) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -9.1 (+6.1) | 134.4 (+2.6) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -8.5 (+5.5) | 135.8 (+1.2) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | HOF 62 – 51 DREX |
| Jan 20, 2025 | DREX 60 – 55 HOF |
| Feb 23, 2024 | HOF 69 – 57 DREX |
| Feb 16, 2024 | DREX 79 – 77 HOF |
| Feb 14, 2023 | HOF 66 – 52 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#278) | 6.2 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#309) | 1.41 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.32 (#308) | 1.50 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#337) | 0.606 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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