Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | DREX -188 HOF +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +2 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -4.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (+25.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -3.7 (-1.7) | 132.8 (+23.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -3.2 (-1.2) | 133.3 (+22.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -2.8 (-0.8) | 131.1 (+24.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -2.9 (-0.9) | 132.4 (+23.6) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | HOF 62 – 51 DREX |
| Jan 3, 2026 | HOF 70 – 67 DREX |
| Jan 20, 2025 | DREX 60 – 55 HOF |
| Feb 23, 2024 | HOF 69 – 57 DREX |
| Feb 14, 2023 | HOF 66 – 52 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-1 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-10 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#124) | 1.7 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#152) | 0.42 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#149) | 0.63 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#141) | 0.535 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.