Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -500 DREX +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +14 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -9.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -9.7 (+4.3) | 135.6 (-17.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -8.1 (+5.9) | 135.6 (-17.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -10.0 (+4.0) | 136.8 (-18.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -8.9 (+5.1) | 137.5 (-19.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | HOF 62 – 51 DREX |
| Jan 3, 2026 | HOF 70 – 67 DREX |
| Jan 20, 2025 | DREX 60 – 55 HOF |
| Feb 23, 2024 | HOF 69 – 57 DREX |
| Feb 16, 2024 | DREX 79 – 77 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-2 | 12-3 |
| Away | 11-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 63.0 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#98) | -0.9 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#80) | -0.23 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#86) | -0.33 (#198) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#48) | 0.484 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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