Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -440 DREX +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +11 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -11.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (-19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -9.4 (+1.6) | 134.7 (-21.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -12.1 (-1.1) | 132.2 (-19.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -11.7 (-0.7) | 132.7 (-19.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -12.3 (-1.3) | 133.3 (-20.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | HOF 70 – 67 DREX |
| Jan 20, 2025 | DREX 60 – 55 HOF |
| Feb 23, 2024 | HOF 69 – 57 DREX |
| Feb 16, 2024 | DREX 79 – 77 HOF |
| Feb 14, 2023 | HOF 66 – 52 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 9-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#99) | -3.2 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#103) | -0.43 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#101) | -0.57 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#67) | 0.489 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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