Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | EMU +124 OHIO -148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +1 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | EMU -4.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -2.1 (-3.1) | 144.5 (-9.5) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EMU -1.4 (-2.4) | 146.8 (-11.8) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -1.6 (-2.6) | 141.5 (-6.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -1.9 (-2.9) | 143.1 (-8.1) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2025 | EMU 83 – 79 OHIO |
| Jan 21, 2025 | EMU 94 – 87 OHIO |
| Jan 20, 2024 | OHIO 85 – 67 EMU |
| Feb 1, 2023 | EMU 90 – 79 OHIO |
| Feb 12, 2022 | OHIO 74 – 56 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-14 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 80.0 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#190) | -2.3 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#164) | 0.08 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#173) | 0.30 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#190) | 0.519 (#131) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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