Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO -450 EMU +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +4 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | OHIO -11.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -9.4 (-13.4) | 152.6 (+9.4) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -10.0 (-14.0) | 153.9 (+8.1) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -9.6 (-13.6) | 151.5 (+10.5) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -9.2 (-13.2) | 153.5 (+8.5) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | OHIO 68 – 67 EMU |
| Jan 21, 2025 | EMU 94 – 87 OHIO |
| Jan 20, 2024 | OHIO 85 – 67 EMU |
| Feb 1, 2023 | EMU 90 – 79 OHIO |
| Feb 12, 2022 | OHIO 74 – 56 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#161) | -8.1 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#170) | -0.63 (#226) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#182) | -1.07 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#151) | 0.473 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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