Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO -800 EMU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +18 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -13.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -10.7 (+7.3) | 148.2 (+3.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -11.6 (+6.4) | 145.4 (+6.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -10.4 (+7.6) | 145.1 (+6.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -10.6 (+7.4) | 146.5 (+5.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | OHIO 68 – 67 EMU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | EMU 83 – 79 OHIO |
| Jan 21, 2025 | EMU 94 – 87 OHIO |
| Feb 1, 2023 | EMU 90 – 79 OHIO |
| Feb 12, 2022 | OHIO 74 – 56 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#196) | -11.6 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#249) | -1.25 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#235) | -1.90 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#280) | 0.422 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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