Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | EMU +400 OHIO -550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +18 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | OHIO -8.9 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -10.1 (-7.9) | 148.4 (-18.4) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -10.4 (-7.6) | 145.8 (-15.8) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -8.7 (-9.3) | 148.2 (-18.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -9.2 (-8.8) | 148.6 (-18.6) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | OHIO 68 – 67 EMU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | EMU 83 – 79 OHIO |
| Jan 21, 2025 | EMU 94 – 87 OHIO |
| Jan 20, 2024 | OHIO 85 – 67 EMU |
| Feb 1, 2023 | EMU 90 – 79 OHIO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-7 | 15-2 |
| Away | 2-14 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#286) | 4.9 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#267) | 1.95 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#266) | 2.07 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#271) | 0.577 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.